Michael Lorenzen
COL • P • Throws R • 2026 Season
Value
Standard score (σ), not a percentile, vs all qualified pitchers — 0 = average, +1 = one standard deviation above the mean. Built from 5x5 category z-scores (like Baseball Monster).
Control & Efficiency
Strike-throwing and length profile — drives the Likely-QS / High-K/BB start flags. The bar under each stat is this pitcher's percentile vs 216 qualified MLB starters (100th = best — already direction-adjusted, so a low BB% or P/PA scores high).
Arsenal
Throwing hand and pitch mix (share of pitches thrown) — the traits the matchup ratings below weigh against each opponent's splits.
Primary pitch: Changeup (22%)
Season Stats
The big number is the actual stat. The bar below it is this pitcher's percentile vs 409 qualified MLB pitchers (≥30 IP) this season — 100th = best, direction-adjusted (a low ERA/WHIP/BB scores high).
Splits & Tendencies
How this pitcher fares by batter hand, venue, opponent lineup quality (elite→poor offenses), and over the last 30 days. Lower ERA/WHIP is better; OPS-against shows for the hand/venue splits. Hover a tag for the numbers.
Luck Factor
How much this pitcher's results are outrunning or trailing the quality of what actually happened — league-relative. Hover a meter for the inputs.
Next 3 Starts
Confirmed = announced probable; Projected = inferred from the rotation (every ~5th team game) and subject to change.
Game Log (26 games)
| Date | Opp | Dec | IP | H | R | ER | BB | SO | HR | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15 | @ San Francisco Giants | L | 3.2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 82 |
| Aug 9 | @ St. Louis Cardinals | - | 4.1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 97 |
| Aug 3 | vs Tampa Bay Rays | L | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 75 |
| Jul 28 | @ San Diego Padres | - | 4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 93 |
| Jul 21 | vs Washington Nationals | - | 3.2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 80 |
| Jul 12 | @ San Francisco Giants | - | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 79 |
| Jul 7 | @ Los Angeles Dodgers | - | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 95 |
| Jul 2 | vs Miami Marlins | - | 4.1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 95 |
| Jun 27 | @ Minnesota Twins | W | 5.2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 92 |
| Jun 21 | vs Pittsburgh Pirates | L | 5.1 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 90 |
| Jun 15 | @ Chicago Cubs | - | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 89 |
| Jun 10 | vs Chicago Cubs | - | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 84 |
| Jun 3 | @ Los Angeles Angels | L | 3.1 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 85 |
| May 29 | vs San Francisco Giants | - | 3.2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 70 |
| May 23 | @ Arizona Diamondbacks | L | 5 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 94 |
| May 17 | vs Arizona Diamondbacks | L | 4.2 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 101 |
| May 12 | @ Pittsburgh Pirates | L | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 85 |
| May 6 | vs New York Mets | L | 5 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 87 |
| Apr 30 | @ Cincinnati Reds | L | 5.1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 85 |
| Apr 24 | @ New York Mets | W | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 90 |
| Apr 19 | vs Los Angeles Dodgers | - | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 88 |
| Apr 14 | @ Houston Astros | L | 2.2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 71 |
| Apr 11 | @ San Diego Padres | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Apr 8 | vs Houston Astros | W | 5.2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 100 |
| Apr 3 | vs Philadelphia Phillies | L | 3 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 77 |
| Mar 28 | @ Miami Marlins | - | 4.1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 93 |