Methodology
Key factors for kicker streaming picks:
- Positive game script (Vegas spread): Teams favored to win score more, creating more kicking opportunities
- Coach trust beyond 50 yards: Coaches who let their kickers attempt long field goals provide more scoring chances
- Recent accuracy: Kickers on hot streaks are more reliable options
- Injury status: Avoiding injured kickers or those on questionable status
- Offense redzone success rate: Teams that stall in the redzone create more field goal attempts
- Stadium indoors or at altitude: Indoor stadiums and high-altitude venues (Denver, Mexico City) help the ball travel farther
Methodology
Key factors for D/ST streaming picks:
- Positive game script (Vegas spread): Defenses on teams expected to lead get more opportunities for sacks and turnovers
- Pass rush vs. pass protection: Strong pass rush against weak offensive lines creates sack opportunities
- Opposing QB or personnel changes: Backup QBs, rookie QBs, or depleted offenses are easier matchups
- Poor weather boost: Rain, wind, and snow lead to more turnovers and offensive mistakes
- Home boost: Home defenses perform better with crowd support and familiarity